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Question 39 - IT Risk Fundamentals discussion

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A risk practitioner has been asked to prepare a risk report by the end of the day that includes an analysis of the most significant risk events facing the organization. Which of the following would BEST enable the risk practitioner to meet the report deadline?

A.

Delphi method

Answers
A.

Delphi method

B.

Markov analysis

Answers
B.

Markov analysis

C.

Monte Carlo simulation

Answers
C.

Monte Carlo simulation

Suggested answer: A

Explanation:

The Delphi method is best suited for preparing a risk report with an analysis of the most significant risk events facing the organization within a short deadline. Here's why:

Delphi Method: This method involves gathering expert opinions through a series of questionnaires, which are then aggregated and shared with the group for further refinement. It is a quick and effective way to reach a consensus on significant risk events due to its iterative process of anonymous feedback and revisions. This method can provide a structured and comprehensive analysis in a limited time frame.

Markov Analysis: This is a stochastic process for modeling random systems that transition from one state to another. It requires substantial data and time to analyze probabilities of different states, making it less practical for a quick report.

Monte Carlo Simulation: This method uses random sampling and statistical modeling to estimate the probability of different outcomes. While highly accurate and useful for complex risk scenarios, it is time-consuming and data-intensive, making it less suitable for a same-day deadline.

Therefore, the Delphi method is the best option for quickly preparing a risk report with significant risk events.

asked 18/11/2024
Benjamin Colart
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