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A risk manager on an infrastructure project gathers and analyzes performance data. The risk manager wants to identify which variables will impact the schedule and determine how these factors interact.

Which data analysis tool should the risk manager use to forecast future performance?

A.

Sensitivity analysis

A.

Sensitivity analysis

Answers
B.

What-if scenario analysis

B.

What-if scenario analysis

Answers
C.

Regression analysis

C.

Regression analysis

Answers
D.

Decision tree analysis

D.

Decision tree analysis

Answers
Suggested answer: B

Explanation:

Regression analysis is a data analysis tool that helps identify variables that impact the schedule and determine how these factors interact. It is used to forecast future performance based on historical data and the relationship between variables. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 248)

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, regression analysis is a data analysis tool that examines the relationship between one or more independent variables and a dependent variable1.Regression analysis can be used to forecast future performance based on historical data and trends2. In this case, the risk manager wants to identify which variables will impact the schedule (the dependent variable) and determine how these factors interact (the independent variables). Therefore, the risk manager should use regression analysis to create a mathematical model that can predict the schedule performance based on the values of the variables.Regression analysis can also help the risk manager to assess the significance and strength of the relationship between the variables and the schedule3.

A project manager has finished the project charter for a project and has now moved into the planning phase. In the first planning meeting, the project manager is trying to determine the risk tolerance and risk attitudes of the project's key stakeholders.

What is the first resource the project manager should reference?

A.

Benefits management plan

A.

Benefits management plan

Answers
B.

Enterprise environmental factors (EEFs)

B.

Enterprise environmental factors (EEFs)

Answers
C.

Project charter

C.

Project charter

Answers
D.

Requirements management plan

D.

Requirements management plan

Answers
Suggested answer: C

Explanation:

The project charter is the first resource the project manager should reference to determine the risk tolerance and risk attitudes of the project's key stakeholders, as it contains information such as the project purpose, objectives, success criteria, high-level risks, and key stakeholder list. The project charter is an output of the Develop Project Charter process, which is part of the Initiating process group. The project charter provides the project manager with the authority to apply organizational resources to project activities and establishes a partnership between the performing organization and the requesting organization.Reference:PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 81-82.

Enterprise environmental factors (EEFs) provide information about the organization's culture, risk tolerance, and risk attitudes, which can help the project manager determine the risk tolerance and risk attitudes of the project's key stakeholders. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 39)

A large, land-based infrastructure project has begun. The project makes assumptions about the site conditions and has economic, technical, and environmental constraints

What should the project manager do next to determine risk impact of assumptions and constraints?

A.

Add all assumptions and constraints to the risk register.

A.

Add all assumptions and constraints to the risk register.

Answers
B.

Add the risk impact of the assumptions in the risk register.

B.

Add the risk impact of the assumptions in the risk register.

Answers
C.

Add the assumptions and constraints to the assumption log.

C.

Add the assumptions and constraints to the assumption log.

Answers
D.

Add the assumptions and constraints in the project charter.

D.

Add the assumptions and constraints in the project charter.

Answers
Suggested answer: C

Explanation:

The project manager should add the assumptions and constraints to the assumption log to track and analyze their impact on the project. The assumption log is a project document that records all project assumptions and constraints throughout the project life cycle. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 89)

The project manager should add the assumptions and constraints to the assumption log, which is a project document that records the assumptions and constraints that affect the project scope, schedule, cost, and quality. The assumption log can help the project manager to identify and analyze the risks that may arise from the validity of the assumptions and the impact of the constraints. The assumption log can also be used as an input for the Identify Risks process, where the project manager can determine the risk impact of the assumptions and constraints and add them to the risk register accordingly.Reference:PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 38, 397.

During a risk reassessment workshop with the project team and some external stakeholders, two key external stakeholders are overemphasizing the impact of a few project risks. This has led to a conflict.

How should the risk manager handle this situation?

A.

Request for a skilled facilitator to help resolve conflicts that have arise.

A.

Request for a skilled facilitator to help resolve conflicts that have arise.

Answers
B.

Refer to the team's ground rules on how to resolve conflicts.

B.

Refer to the team's ground rules on how to resolve conflicts.

Answers
C.

Run a sensitivity analysis to check which risks have the most impact.

C.

Run a sensitivity analysis to check which risks have the most impact.

Answers
D.

Use the assumption analysis techniques to validate the assumptions.

D.

Use the assumption analysis techniques to validate the assumptions.

Answers
Suggested answer: B

Explanation:

According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the plan risk management process isground rules. Ground rules are the rules of conduct or behavior that are established by the project team and other stakeholders to ensure a productive and respectful environment for risk management activities.Ground rules can cover various aspects of risk management, such as roles and responsibilities, communication protocols, decision-making processes, meeting agendas, and conflict resolution methods1. By referring to the team's ground rules on how to resolve conflicts, the risk manager can handle the situation where two key external stakeholders are overemphasizing the impact of a few project risks. This can help the risk manager to maintain a constructive and collaborative atmosphere in the risk reassessment workshop, as well as to ensure that the risk analysis and prioritization are based on objective and consistent criteria.

Some of the other options are not relevant or appropriate for the question scenario:

Requesting for a skilled facilitator to help resolve conflicts that have arisen is not a feasible or effective option, as it would interrupt the flow of the risk reassessment workshop and delay the risk management process. The risk manager should be able to facilitate the workshop and handle conflicts by themselves, using the tools and techniques that they have planned and agreed upon with the project team and stakeholders.

Running a sensitivity analysis to check which risks have the most impact is a technique for the perform quantitative risk analysis process, which is not applicable in the context of a risk reassessment workshop. A sensitivity analysis is a quantitative method that examines the effect of varying one risk parameter at a time on the project objectives, such as cost or schedule.It is not a tool for resolving conflicts or validating the impact of risks, as it does not consider the interrelationships and dependencies among risks or the probability of risk occurrence1.

Using the assumption analysis technique to validate the assumptions is a technique for the identify risks process, which is not suitable for the situation where conflicts have already arisen in the risk reassessment workshop. An assumption analysis is a technique that explores the validity of the assumptions that are made during the project planning and risk management processes.It is not a tool for resolving conflicts or verifying the impact of risks, as it does not address the root causes or the consequences of the disagreements among the stakeholders1.

After starting a new pipeline project, a risk manager schedules an initial meeting with the project sponsor. For the meeting, the project sponsor requests a presentation of the risks that have the most impact on achieving the project objectives.

What should the risk manager do to facilitate the sponsor's ask?

A.

Monte Carlo analysis

A.

Monte Carlo analysis

Answers
B.

Qualitative risk analysis

B.

Qualitative risk analysis

Answers
C.

Sensitivity analysis

C.

Sensitivity analysis

Answers
D.

Quantitative risk analysis

D.

Quantitative risk analysis

Answers
Suggested answer: C

Explanation:

Quantitative risk analysis helps to numerically analyze the probability and impact of risks on project objectives. By performing quantitative risk analysis, the risk manager can present the risks with the most impact on achieving the project objectives to the project sponsor. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 423)

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, sensitivity analysis is a type of probabilistic analysis that determines how sensitive the results of the analysis are to uncertainties in input variables.Sensitivity analysis determines which uncertainty has the greatest potential for an impact on the project objectives, such as cost, schedule, scope, or quality1. In this case, the risk manager should use sensitivity analysis to facilitate the sponsor's ask, as it will help to identify and present the risks that have the most impact on achieving the project objectives.Sensitivity analysis can also show how the project objectives will vary with the changes in the input variables, such as the probability and impact of risks2.Sensitivity analysis can be performed using various tools and techniques, such as tornado diagrams, spider charts, or influence diagrams3.

A risk manager of a complex project has identified a risk and believes a deeper understanding of the source and likelihood is necessary. How should the risk manager proceed?

A.

Develop and employ an Ishikawa diagram

A.

Develop and employ an Ishikawa diagram

Answers
B.

Analyze the assumptions and constraints

B.

Analyze the assumptions and constraints

Answers
C.

Perform a review of project documents

C.

Perform a review of project documents

Answers
D.

Create prompt lists for expert interviews

D.

Create prompt lists for expert interviews

Answers
Suggested answer: A

Explanation:

An Ishikawa diagram (also known as a fishbone or cause-and-effect diagram) is a tool used to identify and analyze the root causes and sources of a risk. It helps the risk manager gain a deeper understanding of the risk source and likelihood. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 139)

An Ishikawa diagram, also known as a fishbone diagram or a cause-and-effect diagram, is a tool that can help the risk manager to analyze the root causes of a risk and to identify the factors that influence its occurrence and impact. An Ishikawa diagram can also help to visualize the relationships among different causes and to prioritize the most significant ones. By developing and employing an Ishikawa diagram, the risk manager can gain a deeper understanding of the source and likelihood of the risk and plan appropriate responses accordingly.Reference:The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 72; PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 398.

The project manager asks the risk manager to determine the initial risk assessment for a six month initiative that is about to kick-off. Which two artifacts will help the risk manager conduct the related analysis? (Choose two.)

A.

Work breakdown structure (W&S)

A.

Work breakdown structure (W&S)

Answers
B.

Project organizational chart

B.

Project organizational chart

Answers
C.

Configuration management plan

C.

Configuration management plan

Answers
D.

Brainstorming

D.

Brainstorming

Answers
E.

Monte Carlo analysis

E.

Monte Carlo analysis

Answers
Suggested answer: A, B

Explanation:

According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the identify risks process isdata gathering. Data gathering is the process of collecting information from various sources to identify potential risks that may affect the project objectives.One of the data gathering techniques isdocument analysis, which involves reviewing and analyzing available project documents and other information sources to identify potential risks1.

Two of the artifacts that will help the risk manager conduct the initial risk assessment for a six month initiative are thework breakdown structure (WBS)and theproject organizational chart. These are two of the project documents that can be analyzed for potential risks in the project.

Thework breakdown structure (WBS)is a hierarchical decomposition of the total scope of work to be carried out by the project team to accomplish the project objectives and create the required deliverables. The WBS represents the work defined in the current approved project scope statement and provides the framework for detailed cost estimating, resource planning, and risk management.By reviewing the WBS, the risk manager can identify potential risks that are associated with each work package, deliverable, or scope element, such as technical complexity, quality requirements, dependencies, assumptions, constraints, and uncertainties1.

Theproject organizational chartis a graphical representation of the project team members and their reporting relationships. The project organizational chart depicts the roles and responsibilities of the project team, as well as the communication channels and authority levels among the team members and other stakeholders.By reviewing the project organizational chart, the risk manager can identify potential risks that are related to the project team structure, such as resource availability, skill gaps, team dynamics, stakeholder expectations, and conflict resolution1.

Some of the other options are not relevant or appropriate for the question scenario:

Theconfiguration management planis a component of the project management plan that describes how the project team will manage the configuration of the project's deliverables and documentation. The configuration management plan defines the processes, tools, and methods for identifying, controlling, tracking, and auditing the changes to the project's baselines.The configuration management plan is not an artifact that will help the risk manager conduct the initial risk assessment, as it does not provide information on the potential risks that may affect the project objectives or scope1.

Brainstormingis a technique for the identify risks process that involves generating a list of potential risks through a group discussion. Brainstorming is not an artifact, but rather a tool and technique for identifying risks.Brainstorming can help the risk manager conduct the initial risk assessment, but only after reviewing and analyzing the available project documents and information sources1.

Monte Carlo analysisis a technique for the perform quantitative risk analysis process that involves simulating the combined effect of individual project risks and other sources of uncertainty on the project objectives, such as cost or schedule. Monte Carlo analysis is not an artifact, but rather a tool and technique for analyzing risks.Monte Carlo analysis can help the risk manager conduct the initial risk assessment, but only after identifying and prioritizing the individual project risks and their probability and impact1.

A project manager is educating the project team on risk management regarding the role of threats and opportunities. The team decides to log the opportunities in the current project's risk register to try to maximize their chances of occurrence.

What should the project team do next?

A.

Conduct a strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis.

A.

Conduct a strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis.

Answers
B.

Log the threats in the risk register to try to minimize the probability of occurrence.

B.

Log the threats in the risk register to try to minimize the probability of occurrence.

Answers
C.

Log the threats in the risk register to try to maximize the probability of occurrence.

C.

Log the threats in the risk register to try to maximize the probability of occurrence.

Answers
D.

Update the project management plan to ensure the results of the opportunities are captured.

D.

Update the project management plan to ensure the results of the opportunities are captured.

Answers
Suggested answer: D

Explanation:

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, the project management plan is the document that describes how the project will be executed, monitored, and controlled.It integrates and consolidates all the subsidiary plans and baselines from the project management processes1.The project management plan should be updated whenever there are changes in the project scope, schedule, cost, quality, resources, communications, risks, procurements, or stakeholder engagement2. In this case, the project team has decided to log the opportunities in the current project's risk register, which is a component of the project management plan.Opportunities are positive risks that may have a beneficial effect on the project objectives, such as cost savings, schedule acceleration, or quality improvement3. Therefore, the project team should update the project management plan to ensure the results of the opportunities are captured and reflected in the relevant subsidiary plans and baselines. For example, if an opportunity leads to a cost saving, the project team should update the cost management plan and the cost baseline accordingly.

At an oil and gas company, a major unified management information system is to be implemented. The project manager noted that risks gathered from the organization's business functions are not properly identified and categorized, making it difficult to develop an effective risk response.

How should the project manager handle this situation?

A.

Outsource conducting the risk response plan to risk consultants.

A.

Outsource conducting the risk response plan to risk consultants.

Answers
B.

Ask functional managers to improve their risk register and process.

B.

Ask functional managers to improve their risk register and process.

Answers
C.

Adjust the risk response plans to effectively handle the identified risks.

C.

Adjust the risk response plans to effectively handle the identified risks.

Answers
D.

Coach the functional groups on how to properly conduct the process.

D.

Coach the functional groups on how to properly conduct the process.

Answers
Suggested answer: D

Explanation:

The project manager should provide guidance and coaching to the functional groups on how to properly identify and categorize risks. This will help improve the quality of the risk register and ensure an effective risk response plan can be developed.

The project manager should coach the functional groups on how to properly conduct the process of identifying and categorizing risks, as this will help to improve the quality and consistency of the risk information and to facilitate the development of an effective risk response plan. The project manager should also provide guidance and support on how to use the appropriate tools and techniques, such as risk breakdown structure, risk taxonomy, risk checklists, risk interviews, and risk workshops, to elicit and document the risks from different perspectives and sources. By coaching the functional groups, the project manager can also enhance their risk awareness and ownership, and foster a collaborative risk culture within the project.Reference:The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 71-72; PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 397-398.

A project manager has determined that they cannot outsource work nor eliminate the scope. They also discover that they cannot buy insurance or mitigate the risk.

What should the project manager do?

A.

Avoid the risk

A.

Avoid the risk

Answers
B.

Transfer the risk

B.

Transfer the risk

Answers
C.

Ignore the risk

C.

Ignore the risk

Answers
D.

Accept the risk

D.

Accept the risk

Answers
Suggested answer: D

Explanation:

Since the project manager cannot avoid, transfer, or mitigate the risk, the only remaining option is to accept the risk and develop a contingency plan to handle it if it occurs.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tools and techniques for risk response planning is risk response strategies. These are the actions that the project manager and the project team take to address the identified risks, either positive or negative.For negative risks or threats, the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1lists four possible strategies: avoid, transfer, mitigate, and accept.

Avoid risk means changing the project plan to eliminate the threat or its impact2. For example, changing the scope, schedule, or budget to avoid a risk.

Transfer risk means shifting the impact of a threat to a third party, such as a contractor, vendor, or insurer2. For example, buying insurance, outsourcing, or using performance bonds to transfer a risk.

Mitigate risk means reducing the probability and/or impact of a threat2. For example, conducting more tests, adopting best practices, or providing training to mitigate a risk.

Accept risk means acknowledging the existence of a threat and being willing to deal with its consequences2. For example, doing nothing, establishing a contingency reserve, or developing a contingency plan to accept a risk.

In this question, the project manager has determined that they cannot outsource work (transfer) nor eliminate the scope (avoid). They also discover that they cannot buy insurance (transfer) or mitigate the risk. Therefore, the only remaining option is to accept the risk. Accepting the risk does not mean ignoring the risk, but rather recognizing it and preparing for its potential occurrence and impact. Therefore, the best answer is D.

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